Hochiminh City (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11,990

HMC Stock   11,150  100.00  0.90%   
Hochiminh City's future price is the expected price of Hochiminh City instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hochiminh City Metal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hochiminh City Backtesting, Hochiminh City Valuation, Hochiminh City Correlation, Hochiminh City Hype Analysis, Hochiminh City Volatility, Hochiminh City History as well as Hochiminh City Performance.
  
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Hochiminh City Target Price Odds to finish over 11,990

The tendency of Hochiminh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11,150 90 days 11,150 
about 47.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hochiminh City to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 47.96 (This Hochiminh City Metal probability density function shows the probability of Hochiminh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hochiminh City has a beta of 0.0195. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hochiminh City average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hochiminh City Metal will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hochiminh City Metal has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hochiminh City Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hochiminh City

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hochiminh City Metal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,14911,15011,151
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10,60310,60412,265
Details

Hochiminh City Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hochiminh City is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hochiminh City's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hochiminh City Metal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hochiminh City within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
311.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Hochiminh City Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hochiminh City for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hochiminh City Metal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hochiminh City Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Hochiminh City Technical Analysis

Hochiminh City's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hochiminh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hochiminh City Metal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hochiminh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hochiminh City Predictive Forecast Models

Hochiminh City's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hochiminh City's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hochiminh City's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hochiminh City Metal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hochiminh City for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hochiminh City Metal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hochiminh City Metal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Hochiminh Stock

Hochiminh City financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hochiminh Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hochiminh with respect to the benefits of owning Hochiminh City security.