Hammerson PLC (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8733.03
| HMN Stock | 6,686 68.00 1.03% |
Hammerson |
Hammerson PLC Target Price Odds to finish below 8733.03
The tendency of Hammerson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 8,733 after 90 days |
| 6,686 | 90 days | 8,733 | about 89.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hammerson PLC to stay under 8,733 after 90 days from now is about 89.11 (This Hammerson PLC probability density function shows the probability of Hammerson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hammerson PLC price to stay between its current price of 6,686 and 8,733 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hammerson PLC has a beta of 0.47. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hammerson PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hammerson PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Hammerson PLC has an alpha of 13.4, implying that it can generate a 13.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hammerson PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hammerson PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hammerson PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hammerson PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hammerson PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hammerson PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hammerson PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hammerson PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 13.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2,826 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Hammerson PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hammerson PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hammerson PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hammerson PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Hammerson PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 127.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (429.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 230.1 M. | |
| Hammerson PLC generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hammerson PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hammerson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hammerson PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hammerson PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.4 B |
Hammerson PLC Technical Analysis
Hammerson PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hammerson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hammerson PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hammerson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hammerson PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Hammerson PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hammerson PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hammerson PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hammerson PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hammerson PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hammerson PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hammerson PLC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Hammerson PLC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 127.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (429.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 230.1 M. | |
| Hammerson PLC generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hammerson Stock
Hammerson PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hammerson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hammerson with respect to the benefits of owning Hammerson PLC security.