Host Hotels (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.37
| HMT Stock | EUR 17.30 0.10 0.58% |
Host |
Host Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 17.37
The tendency of Host Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 17.37 after 90 days |
| 17.30 | 90 days | 17.37 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Host Hotels to stay under € 17.37 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Host Hotels Resorts probability density function shows the probability of Host Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Host Hotels Resorts price to stay between its current price of € 17.30 and € 17.37 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Host Hotels will likely underperform. Additionally Host Hotels Resorts has an alpha of 0.0242, implying that it can generate a 0.0242 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Host Hotels Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Host Hotels
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Host Hotels Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Host Hotels Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Host Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Host Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Host Hotels Resorts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Host Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Host Hotels Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Host Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Host Hotels Resorts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Host Hotels Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Host Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Host Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Host Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 713.4 M |
Host Hotels Technical Analysis
Host Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Host Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Host Hotels Resorts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Host Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Host Hotels Predictive Forecast Models
Host Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Host Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Host Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Host Hotels Resorts
Checking the ongoing alerts about Host Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Host Hotels Resorts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Host Stock
When determining whether Host Hotels Resorts is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Host Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Host Hotels Resorts Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Host Hotels Resorts Stock:Check out Host Hotels Backtesting, Host Hotels Valuation, Host Hotels Correlation, Host Hotels Hype Analysis, Host Hotels Volatility, Host Hotels History as well as Host Hotels Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.