Hannover Rck (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 183.79
| HNR1 Stock | 247.10 0.50 0.20% |
Hannover |
Hannover Rck Target Price Odds to finish over 183.79
The tendency of Hannover Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 183.79 in 90 days |
| 247.10 | 90 days | 183.79 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hannover Rck to stay above 183.79 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hannover Rck SE probability density function shows the probability of Hannover Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hannover Rck SE price to stay between 183.79 and its current price of 247.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hannover Rck has a beta of 0.16. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hannover Rck average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hannover Rck SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hannover Rck SE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hannover Rck Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hannover Rck
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hannover Rck SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hannover Rck Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hannover Rck is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hannover Rck's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hannover Rck SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hannover Rck within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Hannover Rck Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hannover Rck for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hannover Rck SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hannover Rck SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hannover Rck Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hannover Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hannover Rck's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hannover Rck's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.6 B |
Hannover Rck Technical Analysis
Hannover Rck's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hannover Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hannover Rck SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hannover Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hannover Rck Predictive Forecast Models
Hannover Rck's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hannover Rck's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hannover Rck's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hannover Rck SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hannover Rck for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hannover Rck SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hannover Rck SE generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hannover Stock
Hannover Rck financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hannover Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hannover with respect to the benefits of owning Hannover Rck security.