Buyung Poetra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 101.40
| HOKI Stock | IDR 121.00 22.00 22.22% |
Buyung |
Buyung Poetra Target Price Odds to finish below 101.40
The tendency of Buyung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 101.40 or more in 90 days |
| 121.00 | 90 days | 101.40 | about 6.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Buyung Poetra to drop to 101.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.74 (This Buyung Poetra Sembada probability density function shows the probability of Buyung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Buyung Poetra Sembada price to stay between 101.40 and its current price of 121.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Buyung Poetra has a beta of 0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Buyung Poetra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Buyung Poetra Sembada will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Buyung Poetra Sembada has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Buyung Poetra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Buyung Poetra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Buyung Poetra Sembada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Buyung Poetra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Buyung Poetra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Buyung Poetra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Buyung Poetra Sembada, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Buyung Poetra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Buyung Poetra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Buyung Poetra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Buyung Poetra Sembada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Buyung Poetra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Buyung Poetra has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Buyung Poetra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Buyung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Buyung Poetra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Buyung Poetra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 B |
Buyung Poetra Technical Analysis
Buyung Poetra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Buyung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Buyung Poetra Sembada. In general, you should focus on analyzing Buyung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Buyung Poetra Predictive Forecast Models
Buyung Poetra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Buyung Poetra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Buyung Poetra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Buyung Poetra Sembada
Checking the ongoing alerts about Buyung Poetra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Buyung Poetra Sembada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Buyung Poetra generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Buyung Poetra has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Buyung Stock
Buyung Poetra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Buyung Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Buyung with respect to the benefits of owning Buyung Poetra security.