Holland Colours (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 89.81
| HOLCO Stock | EUR 91.00 2.00 2.25% |
Holland |
Holland Colours Target Price Odds to finish below 89.81
The tendency of Holland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 89.81 or more in 90 days |
| 91.00 | 90 days | 89.81 | nearly 4.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holland Colours to drop to € 89.81 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.73 (This Holland Colours NV probability density function shows the probability of Holland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Holland Colours NV price to stay between € 89.81 and its current price of €91.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Holland Colours NV has a beta of -0.21. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Holland Colours are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Holland Colours NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Holland Colours NV has an alpha of 0.0095, implying that it can generate a 0.009497 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Holland Colours Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Holland Colours
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holland Colours NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Holland Colours Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holland Colours is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holland Colours' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holland Colours NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holland Colours within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Holland Colours Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Holland Colours for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Holland Colours NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Holland Colours NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Holland Colours Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Holland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Holland Colours' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holland Colours' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 860.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17 M |
Holland Colours Technical Analysis
Holland Colours' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holland Colours NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Holland Colours Predictive Forecast Models
Holland Colours' time-series forecasting models is one of many Holland Colours' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holland Colours' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Holland Colours NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Holland Colours for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Holland Colours NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Holland Colours NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Holland Stock
Holland Colours financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holland with respect to the benefits of owning Holland Colours security.