Microcloud Hologram Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.65
| HOLO Stock | USD 2.07 0.01 0.49% |
MicroCloud |
MicroCloud Hologram Target Price Odds to finish below 4.65
The tendency of MicroCloud Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 4.65 after 90 days |
| 2.07 | 90 days | 4.65 | about 52.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MicroCloud Hologram to stay under $ 4.65 after 90 days from now is about 52.42 (This MicroCloud Hologram probability density function shows the probability of MicroCloud Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MicroCloud Hologram price to stay between its current price of $ 2.07 and $ 4.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.46 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.71 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, MicroCloud Hologram will likely underperform. Additionally MicroCloud Hologram has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. MicroCloud Hologram Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MicroCloud Hologram
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MicroCloud Hologram. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MicroCloud Hologram Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MicroCloud Hologram is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MicroCloud Hologram's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MicroCloud Hologram, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MicroCloud Hologram within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.93 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
MicroCloud Hologram Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MicroCloud Hologram for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MicroCloud Hologram can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MicroCloud Hologram generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MicroCloud Hologram has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 203.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (81.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.18 M. | |
| MicroCloud Hologram currently holds about 48.01 M in cash with (27.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36. |
MicroCloud Hologram Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MicroCloud Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MicroCloud Hologram's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MicroCloud Hologram's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126 M |
MicroCloud Hologram Technical Analysis
MicroCloud Hologram's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MicroCloud Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MicroCloud Hologram. In general, you should focus on analyzing MicroCloud Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MicroCloud Hologram Predictive Forecast Models
MicroCloud Hologram's time-series forecasting models is one of many MicroCloud Hologram's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MicroCloud Hologram's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MicroCloud Hologram
Checking the ongoing alerts about MicroCloud Hologram for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MicroCloud Hologram help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MicroCloud Hologram generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MicroCloud Hologram has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 203.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (81.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.18 M. | |
| MicroCloud Hologram currently holds about 48.01 M in cash with (27.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36. |
Check out MicroCloud Hologram Backtesting, MicroCloud Hologram Valuation, MicroCloud Hologram Correlation, MicroCloud Hologram Hype Analysis, MicroCloud Hologram Volatility, MicroCloud Hologram History as well as MicroCloud Hologram Performance. To learn how to invest in MicroCloud Stock, please use our How to Invest in MicroCloud Hologram guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MicroCloud Hologram. If investors know MicroCloud will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MicroCloud Hologram listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.299 | Earnings Share (23.81) | Revenue Per Share 297.866 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.282 | Return On Assets (0.22) |
The market value of MicroCloud Hologram is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MicroCloud that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MicroCloud Hologram's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MicroCloud Hologram's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MicroCloud Hologram's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MicroCloud Hologram's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MicroCloud Hologram's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MicroCloud Hologram is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MicroCloud Hologram's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.