Hope Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.05
HOPE Stock | USD 13.62 0.15 1.09% |
Hope |
Hope Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 12.05
The tendency of Hope Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.05 or more in 90 days |
13.62 | 90 days | 12.05 | about 12.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hope Bancorp to drop to $ 12.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.82 (This Hope Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Hope Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hope Bancorp price to stay between $ 12.05 and its current price of $13.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.33 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hope Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Hope Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hope Bancorp Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Hope Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hope Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hope Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hope Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hope Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hope Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hope Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Hope Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hope Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hope Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 21st of November 2024 Hope Bancorp paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: WORLD AIDS DAY 2024 AND LIGHT IN THE GROVE CELEBRATE HOPE, REMEMBRANCE, AND ACTION IN THE FIGHT AGAINST HIVAIDS |
Hope Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hope Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hope Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hope Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.4 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Hope Bancorp Technical Analysis
Hope Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hope Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hope Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hope Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hope Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Hope Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hope Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hope Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hope Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hope Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hope Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 21st of November 2024 Hope Bancorp paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: WORLD AIDS DAY 2024 AND LIGHT IN THE GROVE CELEBRATE HOPE, REMEMBRANCE, AND ACTION IN THE FIGHT AGAINST HIVAIDS |
Check out Hope Bancorp Backtesting, Hope Bancorp Valuation, Hope Bancorp Correlation, Hope Bancorp Hype Analysis, Hope Bancorp Volatility, Hope Bancorp History as well as Hope Bancorp Performance. For information on how to trade Hope Stock refer to our How to Trade Hope Stock guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hope Bancorp. If investors know Hope will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hope Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 0.84 | Revenue Per Share 4.018 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.11) |
The market value of Hope Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hope that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hope Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hope Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hope Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hope Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hope Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hope Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hope Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.