HOR (Poland) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.4
| HOR Stock | 6.40 0.10 1.59% |
HOR |
HOR Target Price Odds to finish below 6.4
The tendency of HOR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 6.40 | 90 days | 6.40 | about 62.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HOR to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 62.68 (This HOR probability density function shows the probability of HOR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HOR has a beta of -0.18. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HOR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HOR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HOR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HOR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HOR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HOR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HOR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HOR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HOR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HOR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HOR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HOR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
HOR Technical Analysis
HOR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HOR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HOR. In general, you should focus on analyzing HOR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HOR Predictive Forecast Models
HOR's time-series forecasting models is one of many HOR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HOR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards HOR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, HOR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from HOR options trading.
Additional Tools for HOR Stock Analysis
When running HOR's price analysis, check to measure HOR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HOR is operating at the current time. Most of HOR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HOR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HOR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HOR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.