Holbrook Structured Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.62

HOSTX Fund  USD 9.83  0.01  0.10%   
Holbrook Structured's future price is the expected price of Holbrook Structured instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Holbrook Structured Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Holbrook Structured Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Holbrook Structured Correlation, Holbrook Structured Hype Analysis, Holbrook Structured Volatility, Holbrook Structured History as well as Holbrook Structured Performance.
  
Please specify Holbrook Structured's target price for which you would like Holbrook Structured odds to be computed.

Holbrook Structured Target Price Odds to finish over 8.62

The tendency of Holbrook Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 8.62  in 90 days
 9.83 90 days 8.62 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Holbrook Structured to stay above $ 8.62  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Holbrook Structured Income probability density function shows the probability of Holbrook Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Holbrook Structured price to stay between $ 8.62  and its current price of $9.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Holbrook Structured Income has a beta of -0.014. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Holbrook Structured are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Holbrook Structured Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Holbrook Structured Income has an alpha of 0.0085, implying that it can generate a 0.008545 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Holbrook Structured Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Holbrook Structured

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Holbrook Structured. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Holbrook Structured's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.719.839.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.919.0310.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.729.849.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.769.829.87
Details

Holbrook Structured Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Holbrook Structured is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Holbrook Structured's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Holbrook Structured Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Holbrook Structured within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.81

Holbrook Structured Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Holbrook Structured for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Holbrook Structured can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 99.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Holbrook Structured Technical Analysis

Holbrook Structured's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Holbrook Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Holbrook Structured Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Holbrook Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Holbrook Structured Predictive Forecast Models

Holbrook Structured's time-series forecasting models is one of many Holbrook Structured's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Holbrook Structured's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Holbrook Structured

Checking the ongoing alerts about Holbrook Structured for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Holbrook Structured help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 99.67% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Holbrook Mutual Fund

Holbrook Structured financial ratios help investors to determine whether Holbrook Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Holbrook with respect to the benefits of owning Holbrook Structured security.
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