American Hotel Income Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.47
| HOT-UN Stock | CAD 0.47 0.02 4.08% |
American |
American Hotel Target Price Odds to finish over 0.47
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.47 | 90 days | 0.47 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Hotel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This American Hotel Income probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon American Hotel has a beta of 0.77. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, American Hotel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Hotel Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Hotel Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. American Hotel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Hotel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Hotel Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Hotel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Hotel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Hotel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Hotel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Hotel Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Hotel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
American Hotel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Hotel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Hotel Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Hotel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Hotel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| American Hotel has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| American Hotel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 280.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (73.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.15 M. |
American Hotel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Hotel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Hotel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.8 M |
American Hotel Technical Analysis
American Hotel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Hotel Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Hotel Predictive Forecast Models
American Hotel's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Hotel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Hotel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Hotel Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Hotel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Hotel Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Hotel generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Hotel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Hotel has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| American Hotel has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| American Hotel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 280.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (73.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.15 M. |
Other Information on Investing in American Stock
American Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Hotel security.