Eagle Mid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 94.21

HRAUX Fund  USD 94.21  1.16  1.25%   
Eagle Mid's future price is the expected price of Eagle Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Eagle Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Eagle Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Eagle Mid Correlation, Eagle Mid Hype Analysis, Eagle Mid Volatility, Eagle Mid History as well as Eagle Mid Performance.
  
Please specify Eagle Mid's target price for which you would like Eagle Mid odds to be computed.

Eagle Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 94.21

The tendency of EAGLE Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 94.21 90 days 94.21 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eagle Mid to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Eagle Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of EAGLE Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Eagle Mid will likely underperform. Additionally Eagle Mid Cap has an alpha of 0.0787, implying that it can generate a 0.0787 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Eagle Mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Eagle Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.2594.3195.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.7999.31100.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
91.4492.5093.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
80.8787.2893.69
Details

Eagle Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eagle Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eagle Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eagle Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eagle Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
3.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Eagle Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eagle Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eagle Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Eagle Mid Cap retains 95.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Eagle Mid Technical Analysis

Eagle Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EAGLE Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eagle Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing EAGLE Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Eagle Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Eagle Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eagle Mid's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eagle Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Eagle Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Eagle Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eagle Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Eagle Mid Cap retains 95.61% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in EAGLE Mutual Fund

Eagle Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether EAGLE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EAGLE with respect to the benefits of owning Eagle Mid security.
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