Harfang Exploration Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 13.71
| HRFEF Stock | USD 0.06 0.01 32.16% |
Harfang |
Harfang Exploration Target Price Odds to finish over 13.71
The tendency of Harfang Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.71 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 13.71 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harfang Exploration to move over $ 13.71 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Harfang Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Harfang Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Harfang Exploration price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06 and $ 13.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 3.52 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Harfang Exploration will likely underperform. Additionally Harfang Exploration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Harfang Exploration Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Harfang Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harfang Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harfang Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Harfang Exploration Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harfang Exploration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harfang Exploration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harfang Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harfang Exploration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Harfang Exploration Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harfang Exploration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harfang Exploration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harfang Exploration had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Harfang Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Harfang Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.16 K. | |
| Harfang Exploration has accumulated about 9.49 M in cash with (4.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Harfang Exploration Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harfang Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harfang Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harfang Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.3 M |
Harfang Exploration Technical Analysis
Harfang Exploration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Harfang Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Harfang Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Harfang Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Harfang Exploration Predictive Forecast Models
Harfang Exploration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Harfang Exploration's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Harfang Exploration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Harfang Exploration
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harfang Exploration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harfang Exploration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Harfang Exploration had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Harfang Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Harfang Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.16 K. | |
| Harfang Exploration has accumulated about 9.49 M in cash with (4.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Other Information on Investing in Harfang Pink Sheet
Harfang Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harfang Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harfang with respect to the benefits of owning Harfang Exploration security.