Hansen Technologies (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.56

HSN Stock   5.81  0.02  0.34%   
Hansen Technologies' future price is the expected price of Hansen Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hansen Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hansen Technologies Backtesting, Hansen Technologies Valuation, Hansen Technologies Correlation, Hansen Technologies Hype Analysis, Hansen Technologies Volatility, Hansen Technologies History as well as Hansen Technologies Performance.
  
Please specify Hansen Technologies' target price for which you would like Hansen Technologies odds to be computed.

Hansen Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 5.56

The tendency of Hansen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  5.56  or more in 90 days
 5.81 90 days 5.56 
about 92.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hansen Technologies to drop to  5.56  or more in 90 days from now is about 92.82 (This Hansen Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Hansen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hansen Technologies price to stay between  5.56  and its current price of 5.81 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hansen Technologies has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hansen Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hansen Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hansen Technologies has an alpha of 0.3815, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hansen Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hansen Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hansen Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.235.767.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.876.407.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.215.747.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.060.07
Details

Hansen Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hansen Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hansen Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hansen Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hansen Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

Hansen Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hansen Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hansen Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hansen Technologies AGM Resolutions Passed Successfully - TipRanks

Hansen Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hansen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hansen Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hansen Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding205.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46 M

Hansen Technologies Technical Analysis

Hansen Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hansen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hansen Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hansen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hansen Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

Hansen Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hansen Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hansen Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hansen Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hansen Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hansen Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Hansen Technologies AGM Resolutions Passed Successfully - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Hansen Stock Analysis

When running Hansen Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Hansen Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hansen Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Hansen Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hansen Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hansen Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hansen Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.