Hanlon Tactical Dividend Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.21
| HTDCX Fund | USD 12.81 0.05 0.39% |
Hanlon |
Hanlon Tactical Target Price Odds to finish below 12.21
The tendency of Hanlon Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.21 or more in 90 days |
| 12.81 | 90 days | 12.21 | about 28.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hanlon Tactical to drop to $ 12.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 28.92 (This Hanlon Tactical Dividend probability density function shows the probability of Hanlon Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hanlon Tactical Dividend price to stay between $ 12.21 and its current price of $12.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hanlon Tactical has a beta of 0.79. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hanlon Tactical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hanlon Tactical Dividend will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hanlon Tactical Dividend has an alpha of 0.0442, implying that it can generate a 0.0442 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hanlon Tactical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hanlon Tactical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hanlon Tactical Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hanlon Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hanlon Tactical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hanlon Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hanlon Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hanlon Tactical Dividend, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hanlon Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Hanlon Tactical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hanlon Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hanlon Tactical Dividend can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains about 87.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Hanlon Tactical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hanlon Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hanlon Tactical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hanlon Tactical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Hanlon Tactical Technical Analysis
Hanlon Tactical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hanlon Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hanlon Tactical Dividend. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hanlon Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hanlon Tactical Predictive Forecast Models
Hanlon Tactical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hanlon Tactical's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hanlon Tactical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hanlon Tactical Dividend
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hanlon Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hanlon Tactical Dividend help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains about 87.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Hanlon Mutual Fund
Hanlon Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hanlon Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hanlon with respect to the benefits of owning Hanlon Tactical security.
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