Hellenic Telecommunicatio (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.54

HTO Stock  EUR 15.13  0.08  0.53%   
Hellenic Telecommunicatio's future price is the expected price of Hellenic Telecommunicatio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hellenic Telecommunications Organization performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hellenic Telecommunicatio Backtesting, Hellenic Telecommunicatio Valuation, Hellenic Telecommunicatio Correlation, Hellenic Telecommunicatio Hype Analysis, Hellenic Telecommunicatio Volatility, Hellenic Telecommunicatio History as well as Hellenic Telecommunicatio Performance.
  
Please specify Hellenic Telecommunicatio's target price for which you would like Hellenic Telecommunicatio odds to be computed.

Hellenic Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish over 16.54

The tendency of Hellenic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 16.54  or more in 90 days
 15.13 90 days 16.54 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hellenic Telecommunicatio to move over € 16.54  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hellenic Telecommunications Organization probability density function shows the probability of Hellenic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hellenic Telecommunicatio price to stay between its current price of € 15.13  and € 16.54  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hellenic Telecommunicatio has a beta of 0.0982. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hellenic Telecommunicatio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hellenic Telecommunications Organization will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has an alpha of 0.0406, implying that it can generate a 0.0406 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hellenic Telecommunicatio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hellenic Telecommunicatio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hellenic Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.7115.1316.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6913.1116.64
Details

Hellenic Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hellenic Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hellenic Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hellenic Telecommunications Organization, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hellenic Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Hellenic Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hellenic Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hellenic Telecommunicatio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hellenic Telecommunicatio has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has accumulated 753.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 82.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Hellenic Telecommunicatio has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hellenic Telecommunicatio until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hellenic Telecommunicatio's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hellenic Telecommunicatio sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hellenic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hellenic Telecommunicatio's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of Hellenic Telecommunicatio shares are held by company insiders

Hellenic Telecommunicatio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hellenic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hellenic Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hellenic Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding446.6 M

Hellenic Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis

Hellenic Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hellenic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hellenic Telecommunications Organization. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hellenic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hellenic Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models

Hellenic Telecommunicatio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hellenic Telecommunicatio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hellenic Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hellenic Telecommunicatio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hellenic Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hellenic Telecommunicatio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hellenic Telecommunicatio has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has accumulated 753.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 82.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Hellenic Telecommunicatio has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Hellenic Telecommunicatio until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hellenic Telecommunicatio's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hellenic Telecommunicatio sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hellenic to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hellenic Telecommunicatio's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of Hellenic Telecommunicatio shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Hellenic Stock Analysis

When running Hellenic Telecommunicatio's price analysis, check to measure Hellenic Telecommunicatio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hellenic Telecommunicatio is operating at the current time. Most of Hellenic Telecommunicatio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hellenic Telecommunicatio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hellenic Telecommunicatio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hellenic Telecommunicatio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.