Fusion Fuel Green Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.61
| HTOO Stock | USD 0.31 0.01 3.13% |
Fusion |
Fusion Fuel Target Price Odds to finish over 10.61
The tendency of Fusion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.61 or more in 90 days |
| 0.31 | 90 days | 10.61 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fusion Fuel to move over $ 10.61 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Fusion Fuel Green probability density function shows the probability of Fusion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fusion Fuel Green price to stay between its current price of $ 0.31 and $ 10.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fusion Fuel has a beta of 0.48. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fusion Fuel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fusion Fuel Green will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fusion Fuel Green has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fusion Fuel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fusion Fuel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fusion Fuel Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fusion Fuel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fusion Fuel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fusion Fuel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fusion Fuel Green, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fusion Fuel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Fusion Fuel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fusion Fuel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fusion Fuel Green can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fusion Fuel Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.77 M). | |
| Fusion Fuel Green currently holds about 35.13 M in cash with (8.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: ILUS Announces Completion of QIND Acquisition by Fusion Fuel |
Fusion Fuel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fusion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fusion Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fusion Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 860 K |
Fusion Fuel Technical Analysis
Fusion Fuel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fusion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fusion Fuel Green. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fusion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fusion Fuel Predictive Forecast Models
Fusion Fuel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fusion Fuel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fusion Fuel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fusion Fuel Green
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fusion Fuel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fusion Fuel Green help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fusion Fuel Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.02 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.77 M). | |
| Fusion Fuel Green currently holds about 35.13 M in cash with (8.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: ILUS Announces Completion of QIND Acquisition by Fusion Fuel |
Check out Fusion Fuel Backtesting, Fusion Fuel Valuation, Fusion Fuel Correlation, Fusion Fuel Hype Analysis, Fusion Fuel Volatility, Fusion Fuel History as well as Fusion Fuel Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fusion Fuel. If investors know Fusion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fusion Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.26) | Revenue Per Share 0.283 | Return On Assets (0.37) | Return On Equity (1.93) |
The market value of Fusion Fuel Green is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fusion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fusion Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fusion Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fusion Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fusion Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fusion Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fusion Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fusion Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.