Fusion Fuel Green Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.007728
| HTOOW Stock | USD 0.01 0 11.76% |
Fusion |
Fusion Fuel Target Price Odds to finish below 0.007728
The tendency of Fusion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fusion Fuel to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Fusion Fuel Green probability density function shows the probability of Fusion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fusion Fuel Green price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.015 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.21 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fusion Fuel will likely underperform. Additionally Fusion Fuel Green has an alpha of 0.3102, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fusion Fuel Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fusion Fuel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fusion Fuel Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fusion Fuel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fusion Fuel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fusion Fuel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fusion Fuel Green, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fusion Fuel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Fusion Fuel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fusion Fuel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fusion Fuel Green can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fusion Fuel Green had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has accumulated about 35.13 M in cash with (8.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MAK CAPITAL ONE LLC Reduces Stake in Fusion Fuel Green PLC - GuruFocus.com |
Fusion Fuel Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fusion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fusion Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fusion Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
Fusion Fuel Technical Analysis
Fusion Fuel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fusion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fusion Fuel Green. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fusion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fusion Fuel Predictive Forecast Models
Fusion Fuel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fusion Fuel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fusion Fuel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fusion Fuel Green
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fusion Fuel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fusion Fuel Green help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fusion Fuel Green had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (31.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has accumulated about 35.13 M in cash with (8.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Fusion Fuel Green has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MAK CAPITAL ONE LLC Reduces Stake in Fusion Fuel Green PLC - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Fusion Stock Analysis
When running Fusion Fuel's price analysis, check to measure Fusion Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fusion Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of Fusion Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fusion Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fusion Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fusion Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.