Human Xtensions (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 42.3

HUMX Stock  ILA 27.20  2.50  8.42%   
Human Xtensions' future price is the expected price of Human Xtensions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Human Xtensions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Human Xtensions Backtesting, Human Xtensions Valuation, Human Xtensions Correlation, Human Xtensions Hype Analysis, Human Xtensions Volatility, Human Xtensions History as well as Human Xtensions Performance.
  
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Human Xtensions Target Price Odds to finish over 42.3

The tendency of Human Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  42.30  or more in 90 days
 27.20 90 days 42.30 
about 47.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Human Xtensions to move over  42.30  or more in 90 days from now is about 47.26 (This Human Xtensions probability density function shows the probability of Human Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Human Xtensions price to stay between its current price of  27.20  and  42.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Human Xtensions has a beta of -0.66. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Human Xtensions are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Human Xtensions is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Human Xtensions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Human Xtensions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Human Xtensions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Human Xtensions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.9227.2032.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.8326.1131.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.4134.6939.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.6228.3030.98
Details

Human Xtensions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Human Xtensions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Human Xtensions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Human Xtensions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Human Xtensions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.66
σ
Overall volatility
8.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Human Xtensions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Human Xtensions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Human Xtensions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Human Xtensions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Human Xtensions has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Human Xtensions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.62 M.
Human Xtensions has accumulated about 148.31 M in cash with (27.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.56.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Human Xtensions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Human Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Human Xtensions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Human Xtensions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float11.9 M

Human Xtensions Technical Analysis

Human Xtensions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Human Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Human Xtensions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Human Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Human Xtensions Predictive Forecast Models

Human Xtensions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Human Xtensions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Human Xtensions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Human Xtensions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Human Xtensions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Human Xtensions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Human Xtensions generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Human Xtensions has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Human Xtensions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 3.12 M. Net Loss for the year was (28.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.62 M.
Human Xtensions has accumulated about 148.31 M in cash with (27.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.56.
Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Human Stock

Human Xtensions financial ratios help investors to determine whether Human Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Human with respect to the benefits of owning Human Xtensions security.