Huya Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.97
| HUYA Stock | USD 3.22 0.15 4.89% |
HUYA |
HUYA Target Price Odds to finish below 1.97
The tendency of HUYA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.97 or more in 90 days |
| 3.22 | 90 days | 1.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HUYA to drop to $ 1.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HUYA Inc probability density function shows the probability of HUYA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HUYA Inc price to stay between $ 1.97 and its current price of $3.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days HUYA has a beta of 0.62. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, HUYA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding HUYA Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HUYA Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. HUYA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HUYA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HUYA Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HUYA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HUYA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HUYA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HUYA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HUYA Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HUYA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
HUYA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HUYA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HUYA Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HUYA Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HUYA Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (204.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 610.87 M. | |
| HUYA Inc currently holds about 10.72 B in cash with (32.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 44.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| HUYA Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of October 2024 HUYA paid $ 1.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 HUYA Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
HUYA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HUYA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HUYA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HUYA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 243 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.4 B |
HUYA Technical Analysis
HUYA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HUYA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HUYA Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing HUYA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HUYA Predictive Forecast Models
HUYA's time-series forecasting models is one of many HUYA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HUYA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HUYA Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about HUYA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HUYA Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HUYA Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HUYA Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.99 B. Net Loss for the year was (204.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 610.87 M. | |
| HUYA Inc currently holds about 10.72 B in cash with (32.08 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 44.8, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| HUYA Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 25th of October 2024 HUYA paid $ 1.08 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Q3 2024 HUYA Inc Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out HUYA Backtesting, HUYA Valuation, HUYA Correlation, HUYA Hype Analysis, HUYA Volatility, HUYA History as well as HUYA Performance. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Interactive Home Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HUYA. If investors know HUYA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HUYA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.424 | Earnings Share (0.08) | Revenue Per Share 26.306 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of HUYA Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HUYA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HUYA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HUYA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HUYA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HUYA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HUYA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HUYA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HUYA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.