Headwater Gold Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.13
| HWAUF Stock | USD 0.17 0.01 5.56% |
Headwater |
Headwater Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 0.13
The tendency of Headwater OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.13 in 90 days |
| 0.17 | 90 days | 0.13 | over 95.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Headwater Gold to stay above $ 0.13 in 90 days from now is over 95.13 (This Headwater Gold probability density function shows the probability of Headwater OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Headwater Gold price to stay between $ 0.13 and its current price of $0.17 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Headwater Gold has a beta of -1.26. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Headwater Gold are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Headwater Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Headwater Gold has an alpha of 0.5368, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Headwater Gold Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Headwater Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Headwater Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Headwater Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Headwater Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Headwater Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Headwater Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Headwater Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Headwater Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Headwater Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Headwater Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Headwater Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Headwater Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Headwater Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Headwater Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Headwater Gold generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: i-80 Gold Market Overreaction Presents Opportunity - Seeking Alpha |
Headwater Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Headwater OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Headwater Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Headwater Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.6 M |
Headwater Gold Technical Analysis
Headwater Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Headwater OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Headwater Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Headwater OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Headwater Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Headwater Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Headwater Gold's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Headwater Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Headwater Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Headwater Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Headwater Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Headwater Gold had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Headwater Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Headwater Gold has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Headwater Gold generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: i-80 Gold Market Overreaction Presents Opportunity - Seeking Alpha |
Other Information on Investing in Headwater OTC Stock
Headwater Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Headwater OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Headwater with respect to the benefits of owning Headwater Gold security.