Highway 50 Gold Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.17

HWY Stock  CAD 0.20  0.05  20.00%   
Highway 50's future price is the expected price of Highway 50 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Highway 50 Gold performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Highway 50 Backtesting, Highway 50 Valuation, Highway 50 Correlation, Highway 50 Hype Analysis, Highway 50 Volatility, Highway 50 History as well as Highway 50 Performance.
  
Please specify Highway 50's target price for which you would like Highway 50 odds to be computed.

Highway 50 Target Price Odds to finish over 0.17

The tendency of Highway Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above C$ 0.17  in 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.17 
about 86.67
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Highway 50 to stay above C$ 0.17  in 90 days from now is about 86.67 (This Highway 50 Gold probability density function shows the probability of Highway Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Highway 50 Gold price to stay between C$ 0.17  and its current price of C$0.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Highway 50 Gold has a beta of -0.34. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Highway 50 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Highway 50 Gold is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Highway 50 Gold has an alpha of 0.7737, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Highway 50 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Highway 50

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highway 50 Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.209.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.179.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.179.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.200.200.20
Details

Highway 50 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Highway 50 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Highway 50's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Highway 50 Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Highway 50 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.77
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Highway 50 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Highway 50 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Highway 50 Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Highway 50 Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Highway 50 Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Highway 50 Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (4.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Highway 50 Gold has accumulated about 225.12 K in cash with (213.75 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Highway 50 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Highway Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Highway 50's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Highway 50's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.8 M

Highway 50 Technical Analysis

Highway 50's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Highway Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Highway 50 Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Highway Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Highway 50 Predictive Forecast Models

Highway 50's time-series forecasting models is one of many Highway 50's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Highway 50's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Highway 50 Gold

Checking the ongoing alerts about Highway 50 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Highway 50 Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Highway 50 Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Highway 50 Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Highway 50 Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Net Loss for the year was (4.32 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Highway 50 Gold has accumulated about 225.12 K in cash with (213.75 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Highway Stock Analysis

When running Highway 50's price analysis, check to measure Highway 50's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Highway 50 is operating at the current time. Most of Highway 50's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Highway 50's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Highway 50's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Highway 50 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.