HEXAGON AB (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.12
| HXGC Stock | EUR 9.20 0.40 4.55% |
HEXAGON |
HEXAGON AB Target Price Odds to finish below 8.12
The tendency of HEXAGON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 8.12 or more in 90 days |
| 9.20 | 90 days | 8.12 | about 13.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HEXAGON AB to drop to € 8.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 13.93 (This HEXAGON AB ADR1 probability density function shows the probability of HEXAGON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HEXAGON AB ADR1 price to stay between € 8.12 and its current price of €9.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon HEXAGON AB ADR1 has a beta of -0.23. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HEXAGON AB are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HEXAGON AB ADR1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HEXAGON AB ADR1 has an alpha of 0.1636, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HEXAGON AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HEXAGON AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEXAGON AB ADR1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HEXAGON AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HEXAGON AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HEXAGON AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HEXAGON AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HEXAGON AB ADR1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HEXAGON AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
HEXAGON AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HEXAGON AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HEXAGON AB ADR1 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HEXAGON AB ADR1 has accumulated 2.52 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. HEXAGON AB ADR1 has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HEXAGON AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HEXAGON AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HEXAGON AB ADR1 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HEXAGON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HEXAGON AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
HEXAGON AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HEXAGON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HEXAGON AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HEXAGON AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0102 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.11 | |
| Shares Float | 2.1 B |
HEXAGON AB Technical Analysis
HEXAGON AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HEXAGON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HEXAGON AB ADR1. In general, you should focus on analyzing HEXAGON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HEXAGON AB Predictive Forecast Models
HEXAGON AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many HEXAGON AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HEXAGON AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HEXAGON AB ADR1
Checking the ongoing alerts about HEXAGON AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HEXAGON AB ADR1 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HEXAGON AB ADR1 has accumulated 2.52 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.39, which is about average as compared to similar companies. HEXAGON AB ADR1 has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist HEXAGON AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, HEXAGON AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like HEXAGON AB ADR1 sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for HEXAGON to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about HEXAGON AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in HEXAGON Stock
HEXAGON AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether HEXAGON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HEXAGON with respect to the benefits of owning HEXAGON AB security.