Hyster Yale Materials Handling Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 43.58
| HY Stock | USD 56.22 0.61 1.07% |
Hyster |
Hyster Yale Target Price Odds to finish over 43.58
The tendency of Hyster Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 43.58 in 90 days |
| 56.22 | 90 days | 43.58 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hyster Yale to stay above $ 43.58 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hyster Yale Materials Handling probability density function shows the probability of Hyster Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hyster Yale Materials price to stay between $ 43.58 and its current price of $56.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.69 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.2 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Hyster Yale will likely underperform. Additionally Hyster Yale Materials Handling has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hyster Yale Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hyster Yale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hyster Yale Materials. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hyster Yale's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hyster Yale Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hyster Yale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hyster Yale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hyster Yale Materials Handling, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hyster Yale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Hyster Yale Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hyster Yale for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hyster Yale Materials can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hyster Yale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hyster Yale Inc Stock Price Up 3.61 percent on Nov 19 |
Hyster Yale Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hyster Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hyster Yale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hyster Yale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.8 M |
Hyster Yale Technical Analysis
Hyster Yale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hyster Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hyster Yale Materials Handling. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hyster Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hyster Yale Predictive Forecast Models
Hyster Yale's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hyster Yale's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hyster Yale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hyster Yale Materials
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hyster Yale for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hyster Yale Materials help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hyster Yale generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Hyster Yale Inc Stock Price Up 3.61 percent on Nov 19 |
Additional Tools for Hyster Stock Analysis
When running Hyster Yale's price analysis, check to measure Hyster Yale's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hyster Yale is operating at the current time. Most of Hyster Yale's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hyster Yale's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hyster Yale's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hyster Yale to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.