Iron Mountain (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 690.06

I1RM34 Stock  BRL 744.75  21.87  3.03%   
Iron Mountain's future price is the expected price of Iron Mountain instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Iron Mountain Incorporated performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Iron Mountain Backtesting, Iron Mountain Valuation, Iron Mountain Correlation, Iron Mountain Hype Analysis, Iron Mountain Volatility, Iron Mountain History as well as Iron Mountain Performance.
  
Please specify Iron Mountain's target price for which you would like Iron Mountain odds to be computed.

Iron Mountain Target Price Odds to finish over 690.06

The tendency of Iron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above R$ 690.06  in 90 days
 744.75 90 days 690.06 
about 30.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iron Mountain to stay above R$ 690.06  in 90 days from now is about 30.7 (This Iron Mountain Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Iron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iron Mountain price to stay between R$ 690.06  and its current price of R$744.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Iron Mountain has a beta of 0.38. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Iron Mountain average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Iron Mountain Incorporated will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Iron Mountain Incorporated has an alpha of 0.221, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Iron Mountain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Iron Mountain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iron Mountain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
742.75744.75746.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
712.96714.96819.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
800.57802.57804.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
654.51698.36742.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Iron Mountain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Iron Mountain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Iron Mountain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Iron Mountain.

Iron Mountain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iron Mountain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iron Mountain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iron Mountain Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iron Mountain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
35.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Iron Mountain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iron Mountain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iron Mountain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iron Mountain Incorporated has accumulated 8.96 B in total debt. Iron Mountain has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Iron Mountain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Iron Mountain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Iron Mountain sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Iron to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Iron Mountain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Iron Mountain Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Iron Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Iron Mountain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iron Mountain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding289.8 M

Iron Mountain Technical Analysis

Iron Mountain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iron Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iron Mountain Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iron Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Iron Mountain Predictive Forecast Models

Iron Mountain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iron Mountain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iron Mountain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Iron Mountain

Checking the ongoing alerts about Iron Mountain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iron Mountain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iron Mountain Incorporated has accumulated 8.96 B in total debt. Iron Mountain has a current ratio of 0.6, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Iron Mountain until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Iron Mountain's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Iron Mountain sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Iron to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Iron Mountain's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Iron Stock

When determining whether Iron Mountain is a strong investment it is important to analyze Iron Mountain's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Iron Mountain's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Iron Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Iron Mountain Backtesting, Iron Mountain Valuation, Iron Mountain Correlation, Iron Mountain Hype Analysis, Iron Mountain Volatility, Iron Mountain History as well as Iron Mountain Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Iron Mountain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Iron Mountain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Iron Mountain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.