Intuitive Surgical (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 154.09
| I1SR34 Stock | BRL 162.58 1.78 1.11% |
Intuitive |
Intuitive Surgical Target Price Odds to finish over 154.09
The tendency of Intuitive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 154.09 in 90 days |
| 162.58 | 90 days | 154.09 | about 8.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intuitive Surgical to stay above R$ 154.09 in 90 days from now is about 8.44 (This Intuitive Surgical probability density function shows the probability of Intuitive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intuitive Surgical price to stay between R$ 154.09 and its current price of R$162.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.33 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Intuitive Surgical has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intuitive Surgical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intuitive Surgical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intuitive Surgical has an alpha of 0.3252, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intuitive Surgical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intuitive Surgical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intuitive Surgical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intuitive Surgical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intuitive Surgical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intuitive Surgical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intuitive Surgical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intuitive Surgical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Intuitive Surgical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intuitive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intuitive Surgical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intuitive Surgical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 357.7 M |
Intuitive Surgical Technical Analysis
Intuitive Surgical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intuitive Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intuitive Surgical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intuitive Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intuitive Surgical Predictive Forecast Models
Intuitive Surgical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intuitive Surgical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intuitive Surgical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Intuitive Surgical in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Intuitive Surgical's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Intuitive Surgical options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Intuitive Stock
When determining whether Intuitive Surgical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Intuitive Surgical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Intuitive Surgical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Intuitive Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Intuitive Surgical Backtesting, Intuitive Surgical Valuation, Intuitive Surgical Correlation, Intuitive Surgical Hype Analysis, Intuitive Surgical Volatility, Intuitive Surgical History as well as Intuitive Surgical Performance. For information on how to trade Intuitive Stock refer to our How to Trade Intuitive Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.