Fisher All Foreign Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.31

IAFEX Fund  USD 12.30  0.07  0.57%   
Fisher Investments' future price is the expected price of Fisher Investments instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fisher All Foreign performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fisher Investments Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Fisher Investments Correlation, Fisher Investments Hype Analysis, Fisher Investments Volatility, Fisher Investments History as well as Fisher Investments Performance.
  
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Fisher Investments Target Price Odds to finish over 13.31

The tendency of Fisher Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.31  or more in 90 days
 12.30 90 days 13.31 
about 1.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fisher Investments to move over $ 13.31  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.47 (This Fisher All Foreign probability density function shows the probability of Fisher Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fisher All Foreign price to stay between its current price of $ 12.30  and $ 13.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fisher Investments has a beta of 0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Fisher Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fisher All Foreign will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fisher All Foreign has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fisher Investments Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fisher Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fisher All Foreign. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fisher Investments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4312.3713.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5312.4713.41
Details

Fisher Investments Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fisher Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fisher Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fisher All Foreign, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fisher Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Fisher Investments Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fisher Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fisher All Foreign can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fisher All Foreign generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Keefe, Bruyette Woods Downgrades Federal National Mortgage Association - Preferred Stock - MSN
The fund retains 99.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Fisher Investments Technical Analysis

Fisher Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fisher Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fisher All Foreign. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fisher Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fisher Investments Predictive Forecast Models

Fisher Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fisher Investments' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fisher Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fisher All Foreign

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fisher Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fisher All Foreign help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fisher All Foreign generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Keefe, Bruyette Woods Downgrades Federal National Mortgage Association - Preferred Stock - MSN
The fund retains 99.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Fisher Mutual Fund

Fisher Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fisher Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fisher with respect to the benefits of owning Fisher Investments security.
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