Ishares Insurance Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 129.04

IAK Etf  USD 138.16  0.03  0.02%   
IShares Insurance's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on iShares Insurance ETF. Implied volatility approximates the future value of IShares Insurance based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in iShares Insurance ETF over a specific time period. For example, IAK Option Call 20-12-2024 138 is a CALL option contract on IShares Insurance's common stock with a strick price of 138.0 expiring on 2024-12-20. The contract was last traded on 2024-11-18 at 13:29:04 for $0.4 and, as of today, has 20 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.1, and an ask price of $2.9. The implied volatility as of the 30th of November is 20.0. View All IShares options

Closest to current price IShares long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

IShares Insurance's future price is the expected price of IShares Insurance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of iShares Insurance ETF performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out IShares Insurance Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IShares Insurance Correlation, IShares Insurance Hype Analysis, IShares Insurance Volatility, IShares Insurance History as well as IShares Insurance Performance.
  
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IShares Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over 129.04

The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 129.04  in 90 days
 138.16 90 days 129.04 
about 61.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares Insurance to stay above $ 129.04  in 90 days from now is about 61.52 (This iShares Insurance ETF probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of iShares Insurance ETF price to stay between $ 129.04  and its current price of $138.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.07 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.01 . This usually indicates iShares Insurance ETF market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, IShares Insurance is expected to follow. Additionally IShares Insurance ETF has an alpha of 0.005, implying that it can generate a 0.00502 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IShares Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Insurance ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
137.09138.16139.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
124.63125.70151.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
138.98140.05141.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
131.29135.79140.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IShares Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IShares Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IShares Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in iShares Insurance ETF.

IShares Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iShares Insurance ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.01
σ
Overall volatility
3.14
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

IShares Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IShares Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for iShares Insurance ETF can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

IShares Insurance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IShares Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IShares Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

IShares Insurance Technical Analysis

IShares Insurance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of iShares Insurance ETF. In general, you should focus on analyzing IShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

IShares Insurance Predictive Forecast Models

IShares Insurance's time-series forecasting models is one of many IShares Insurance's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IShares Insurance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about iShares Insurance ETF

Checking the ongoing alerts about IShares Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for iShares Insurance ETF help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether iShares Insurance ETF is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if IShares Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ishares Insurance Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ishares Insurance Etf:
The market value of iShares Insurance ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares Insurance's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares Insurance's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares Insurance's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares Insurance's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.