IAR Systems (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 138.87
| IAR-B Stock | SEK 145.00 10.50 7.81% |
IAR |
IAR Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 138.87
The tendency of IAR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above kr 138.87 in 90 days |
| 145.00 | 90 days | 138.87 | about 58.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IAR Systems to stay above kr 138.87 in 90 days from now is about 58.15 (This IAR Systems Group probability density function shows the probability of IAR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IAR Systems Group price to stay between kr 138.87 and its current price of kr145.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IAR Systems has a beta of 0.76. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IAR Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IAR Systems Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IAR Systems Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IAR Systems Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IAR Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IAR Systems Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IAR Systems Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IAR Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IAR Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IAR Systems Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IAR Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
IAR Systems Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IAR Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IAR Systems Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IAR Systems Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 358 M. Net Loss for the year was (67.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 184.3 M. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
IAR Systems Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IAR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IAR Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IAR Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.4 M |
IAR Systems Technical Analysis
IAR Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IAR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IAR Systems Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing IAR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IAR Systems Predictive Forecast Models
IAR Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many IAR Systems' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IAR Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IAR Systems Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about IAR Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IAR Systems Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IAR Systems Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 358 M. Net Loss for the year was (67.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 184.3 M. | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for IAR Stock Analysis
When running IAR Systems' price analysis, check to measure IAR Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IAR Systems is operating at the current time. Most of IAR Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IAR Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IAR Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IAR Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.