Athens Medical (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.06

IATR Stock  EUR 1.51  0.03  1.95%   
Athens Medical's future price is the expected price of Athens Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Athens Medical CSA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Athens Medical Backtesting, Athens Medical Valuation, Athens Medical Correlation, Athens Medical Hype Analysis, Athens Medical Volatility, Athens Medical History as well as Athens Medical Performance.
  
Please specify Athens Medical's target price for which you would like Athens Medical odds to be computed.

Athens Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 3.06

The tendency of Athens Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 3.06  or more in 90 days
 1.51 90 days 3.06 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Athens Medical to move over € 3.06  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Athens Medical CSA probability density function shows the probability of Athens Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Athens Medical CSA price to stay between its current price of € 1.51  and € 3.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Athens Medical CSA has a beta of -0.04. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Athens Medical are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Athens Medical CSA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Athens Medical CSA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Athens Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Athens Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Athens Medical CSA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.513.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.523.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.503.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.491.531.57
Details

Athens Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Athens Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Athens Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Athens Medical CSA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Athens Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Athens Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Athens Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Athens Medical CSA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athens Medical CSA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Athens Medical CSA may become a speculative penny stock
Athens Medical CSA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Athens Medical CSA has accumulated 129.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 184.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Athens Medical CSA has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Athens Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Athens Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Athens Medical CSA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Athens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Athens Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 81.0% of Athens Medical shares are held by company insiders

Athens Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Athens Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Athens Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Athens Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding86.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments52 M

Athens Medical Technical Analysis

Athens Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Athens Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Athens Medical CSA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Athens Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Athens Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Athens Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Athens Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Athens Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Athens Medical CSA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Athens Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Athens Medical CSA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Athens Medical CSA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Athens Medical CSA may become a speculative penny stock
Athens Medical CSA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Athens Medical CSA has accumulated 129.39 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 184.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Athens Medical CSA has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Athens Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Athens Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Athens Medical CSA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Athens to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Athens Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 81.0% of Athens Medical shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Athens Stock Analysis

When running Athens Medical's price analysis, check to measure Athens Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Athens Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Athens Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Athens Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Athens Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Athens Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.