Iberpapel Gestion (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.65
| IBG Stock | EUR 18.50 0.10 0.54% |
Iberpapel |
Iberpapel Gestion Target Price Odds to finish below 18.65
The tendency of Iberpapel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 18.65 after 90 days |
| 18.50 | 90 days | 18.65 | about 91.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iberpapel Gestion to stay under € 18.65 after 90 days from now is about 91.49 (This Iberpapel Gestion SA probability density function shows the probability of Iberpapel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iberpapel Gestion price to stay between its current price of € 18.50 and € 18.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Iberpapel Gestion SA has a beta of -0.073. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Iberpapel Gestion are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Iberpapel Gestion SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Iberpapel Gestion SA has an alpha of 0.0281, implying that it can generate a 0.0281 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Iberpapel Gestion Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Iberpapel Gestion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iberpapel Gestion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Iberpapel Gestion Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iberpapel Gestion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iberpapel Gestion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iberpapel Gestion SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iberpapel Gestion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Iberpapel Gestion Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iberpapel Gestion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iberpapel Gestion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Iberpapel Gestion has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Iberpapel Gestion Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Iberpapel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Iberpapel Gestion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iberpapel Gestion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 105.2 M |
Iberpapel Gestion Technical Analysis
Iberpapel Gestion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iberpapel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iberpapel Gestion SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iberpapel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Iberpapel Gestion Predictive Forecast Models
Iberpapel Gestion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iberpapel Gestion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iberpapel Gestion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Iberpapel Gestion
Checking the ongoing alerts about Iberpapel Gestion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iberpapel Gestion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Iberpapel Gestion has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Iberpapel Stock
Iberpapel Gestion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iberpapel Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iberpapel with respect to the benefits of owning Iberpapel Gestion security.