Ibio Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.03
| IBIO Stock | USD 2.64 0.19 7.76% |
Ibio |
Ibio Target Price Odds to finish below 0.03
The tendency of Ibio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days |
| 2.64 | 90 days | 0.03 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ibio to drop to $ 0.03 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ibio Inc probability density function shows the probability of Ibio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ibio Inc price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $2.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ibio has a beta of 0.6. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ibio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ibio Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ibio Inc has an alpha of 0.4553, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ibio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ibio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ibio Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ibio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ibio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ibio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ibio Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ibio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Ibio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ibio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ibio Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ibio Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ibio Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ibio Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 225 K. Net Loss for the year was (24.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.17 M. | |
| Ibio Inc currently holds about 33.52 M in cash with (18.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Ibio Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Banjak Marc of Ibio subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Ibio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ibio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ibio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ibio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.2 M |
Ibio Technical Analysis
Ibio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ibio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ibio Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ibio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ibio Predictive Forecast Models
Ibio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ibio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ibio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ibio Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ibio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ibio Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ibio Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Ibio Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Ibio Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 225 K. Net Loss for the year was (24.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.17 M. | |
| Ibio Inc currently holds about 33.52 M in cash with (18.55 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.72, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Ibio Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of tradable shares by Banjak Marc of Ibio subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Ibio Backtesting, Ibio Valuation, Ibio Correlation, Ibio Hype Analysis, Ibio Volatility, Ibio History as well as Ibio Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ibio. If investors know Ibio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ibio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.03) | Revenue Per Share 0.059 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.88) | Return On Assets (0.30) | Return On Equity (0.84) |
The market value of Ibio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ibio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ibio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ibio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ibio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ibio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ibio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ibio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ibio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.