PT Indo (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.21
| IBOS Stock | 53.00 3.00 5.36% |
IBOS |
PT Indo Target Price Odds to finish below 49.21
The tendency of IBOS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 49.21 or more in 90 days |
| 53.00 | 90 days | 49.21 | roughly 2.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PT Indo to drop to 49.21 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.8 (This PT Indo Boga probability density function shows the probability of IBOS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PT Indo Boga price to stay between 49.21 and its current price of 53.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PT Indo has a beta of 0.85. This usually indicates PT Indo Boga market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, PT Indo is expected to follow. Additionally PT Indo Boga has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PT Indo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PT Indo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PT Indo Boga. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PT Indo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PT Indo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PT Indo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PT Indo Boga, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PT Indo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
PT Indo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PT Indo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PT Indo Boga can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PT Indo Boga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Indo Boga has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
PT Indo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IBOS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PT Indo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PT Indo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 B |
PT Indo Technical Analysis
PT Indo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IBOS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PT Indo Boga. In general, you should focus on analyzing IBOS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PT Indo Predictive Forecast Models
PT Indo's time-series forecasting models is one of many PT Indo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PT Indo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PT Indo Boga
Checking the ongoing alerts about PT Indo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PT Indo Boga help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PT Indo Boga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PT Indo Boga has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in IBOS Stock
PT Indo financial ratios help investors to determine whether IBOS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IBOS with respect to the benefits of owning PT Indo security.