Ibstock PLC (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 188.49
| IBST Stock | 186.40 0.80 0.43% |
Ibstock |
Ibstock PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 188.49
The tendency of Ibstock Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 188.49 or more in 90 days |
| 186.40 | 90 days | 188.49 | about 46.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ibstock PLC to move over 188.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.36 (This Ibstock PLC probability density function shows the probability of Ibstock Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ibstock PLC price to stay between its current price of 186.40 and 188.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ibstock PLC has a beta of -0.0936. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ibstock PLC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ibstock PLC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ibstock PLC has an alpha of 0.0446, implying that it can generate a 0.0446 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ibstock PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ibstock PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ibstock PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ibstock PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ibstock PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ibstock PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ibstock PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ibstock PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Ibstock PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ibstock PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ibstock PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ibstock PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ibstock Sees Stake Increase by Perpetual Limited - TipRanks |
Ibstock PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ibstock Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ibstock PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ibstock PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 395.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.9 M |
Ibstock PLC Technical Analysis
Ibstock PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ibstock Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ibstock PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ibstock Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ibstock PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Ibstock PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ibstock PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ibstock PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ibstock PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ibstock PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ibstock PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ibstock PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ibstock Sees Stake Increase by Perpetual Limited - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Ibstock Stock Analysis
When running Ibstock PLC's price analysis, check to measure Ibstock PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ibstock PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Ibstock PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ibstock PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ibstock PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ibstock PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.