Ivy Cundill Global Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 14.04
| ICDYXDelisted Fund | USD 15.16 0.00 0.00% |
Ivy |
Ivy Cundill Target Price Odds to finish below 14.04
The tendency of Ivy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.04 or more in 90 days |
| 15.16 | 90 days | 14.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ivy Cundill to drop to $ 14.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ivy Cundill Global probability density function shows the probability of Ivy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ivy Cundill Global price to stay between $ 14.04 and its current price of $15.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ivy Cundill has a beta of 0.0132. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ivy Cundill average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ivy Cundill Global will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ivy Cundill Global has an alpha of 0.0349, implying that it can generate a 0.0349 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ivy Cundill Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ivy Cundill
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ivy Cundill Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ivy Cundill's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ivy Cundill Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ivy Cundill is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ivy Cundill's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ivy Cundill Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ivy Cundill within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Ivy Cundill Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ivy Cundill for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ivy Cundill Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ivy Cundill Global is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Ivy Cundill Global has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Ivy Cundill Global retains about 5.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Ivy Cundill Technical Analysis
Ivy Cundill's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ivy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ivy Cundill Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ivy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ivy Cundill Predictive Forecast Models
Ivy Cundill's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ivy Cundill's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ivy Cundill's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ivy Cundill Global
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ivy Cundill for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ivy Cundill Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ivy Cundill Global is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Ivy Cundill Global has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Ivy Cundill Global retains about 5.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Other Consideration for investing in Ivy Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Ivy Cundill Global check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ivy Cundill's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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