ICU Girisim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.84
| ICUGS Stock | 27.58 0.60 2.22% |
ICU |
ICU Girisim Target Price Odds to finish below 23.84
The tendency of ICU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 23.84 or more in 90 days |
| 27.58 | 90 days | 23.84 | about 8.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ICU Girisim to drop to 23.84 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.3 (This ICU Girisim Sermayesi probability density function shows the probability of ICU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ICU Girisim Sermayesi price to stay between 23.84 and its current price of 27.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ICU Girisim has a beta of 0.76. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ICU Girisim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ICU Girisim Sermayesi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ICU Girisim Sermayesi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. ICU Girisim Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ICU Girisim
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICU Girisim Sermayesi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICU Girisim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICU Girisim Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ICU Girisim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ICU Girisim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ICU Girisim Sermayesi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ICU Girisim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
ICU Girisim Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ICU Girisim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ICU Girisim Sermayesi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ICU Girisim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
ICU Girisim Technical Analysis
ICU Girisim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ICU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ICU Girisim Sermayesi. In general, you should focus on analyzing ICU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ICU Girisim Predictive Forecast Models
ICU Girisim's time-series forecasting models is one of many ICU Girisim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ICU Girisim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ICU Girisim Sermayesi
Checking the ongoing alerts about ICU Girisim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ICU Girisim Sermayesi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ICU Girisim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |