ICU Girisim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.5

ICUGS Stock   26.20  0.66  2.46%   
ICU Girisim's future price is the expected price of ICU Girisim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ICU Girisim Sermayesi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
  
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ICU Girisim Target Price Odds to finish below 25.5

The tendency of ICU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  25.50  or more in 90 days
 26.20 90 days 25.50 
about 32.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ICU Girisim to drop to  25.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 32.96 (This ICU Girisim Sermayesi probability density function shows the probability of ICU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ICU Girisim Sermayesi price to stay between  25.50  and its current price of 26.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ICU Girisim Sermayesi has a beta of -0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ICU Girisim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ICU Girisim Sermayesi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ICU Girisim Sermayesi has an alpha of 0.0473, implying that it can generate a 0.0473 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ICU Girisim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ICU Girisim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICU Girisim Sermayesi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICU Girisim's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

ICU Girisim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ICU Girisim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ICU Girisim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ICU Girisim Sermayesi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ICU Girisim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
1.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

ICU Girisim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ICU Girisim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ICU Girisim Sermayesi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ICU Girisim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

ICU Girisim Technical Analysis

ICU Girisim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ICU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ICU Girisim Sermayesi. In general, you should focus on analyzing ICU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ICU Girisim Predictive Forecast Models

ICU Girisim's time-series forecasting models is one of many ICU Girisim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ICU Girisim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ICU Girisim Sermayesi

Checking the ongoing alerts about ICU Girisim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ICU Girisim Sermayesi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ICU Girisim had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days