Indonesia Pondasi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 176.8

IDPR Stock  IDR 178.00  5.00  2.89%   
Indonesia Pondasi's future price is the expected price of Indonesia Pondasi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indonesia Pondasi Raya performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indonesia Pondasi Backtesting, Indonesia Pondasi Valuation, Indonesia Pondasi Correlation, Indonesia Pondasi Hype Analysis, Indonesia Pondasi Volatility, Indonesia Pondasi History as well as Indonesia Pondasi Performance.
  
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Indonesia Pondasi Target Price Odds to finish over 176.8

The tendency of Indonesia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  176.80  in 90 days
 178.00 90 days 176.80 
about 62.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indonesia Pondasi to stay above  176.80  in 90 days from now is about 62.69 (This Indonesia Pondasi Raya probability density function shows the probability of Indonesia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indonesia Pondasi Raya price to stay between  176.80  and its current price of 178.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indonesia Pondasi has a beta of 0.0576. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Indonesia Pondasi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indonesia Pondasi Raya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indonesia Pondasi Raya has an alpha of 0.3116, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Indonesia Pondasi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indonesia Pondasi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indonesia Pondasi Raya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
175.14178.00180.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
173.64176.50179.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
173.02175.88178.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
169.27185.29201.32
Details

Indonesia Pondasi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indonesia Pondasi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indonesia Pondasi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indonesia Pondasi Raya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indonesia Pondasi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
15.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Indonesia Pondasi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indonesia Pondasi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indonesia Pondasi Raya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 872.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (138.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.29 B.
About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Indonesia Pondasi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indonesia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indonesia Pondasi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indonesia Pondasi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments4.6 B

Indonesia Pondasi Technical Analysis

Indonesia Pondasi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indonesia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indonesia Pondasi Raya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indonesia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indonesia Pondasi Predictive Forecast Models

Indonesia Pondasi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indonesia Pondasi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indonesia Pondasi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indonesia Pondasi Raya

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indonesia Pondasi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indonesia Pondasi Raya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 872.57 B. Net Loss for the year was (138.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.29 B.
About 89.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Indonesia Stock

Indonesia Pondasi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indonesia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indonesia with respect to the benefits of owning Indonesia Pondasi security.