International Distributions (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 356.80

IDS Stock   356.80  0.20  0.06%   
International Distributions' future price is the expected price of International Distributions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of International Distributions Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out International Distributions Backtesting, International Distributions Valuation, International Distributions Correlation, International Distributions Hype Analysis, International Distributions Volatility, International Distributions History as well as International Distributions Performance.
  
Please specify International Distributions' target price for which you would like International Distributions odds to be computed.

International Distributions Target Price Odds to finish over 356.80

The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 356.80 90 days 356.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Distributions to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This International Distributions Services probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon International Distributions has a beta of 0.0423. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, International Distributions average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding International Distributions Services will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally International Distributions Services has an alpha of 0.0634, implying that it can generate a 0.0634 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   International Distributions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for International Distributions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Distributions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
356.29356.80357.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
331.31331.82392.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
359.28359.79360.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.060.07
Details

International Distributions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Distributions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Distributions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Distributions Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Distributions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
4.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

International Distributions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Distributions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Distributions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

International Distributions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Distributions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Distributions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding957 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

International Distributions Technical Analysis

International Distributions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Distributions Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

International Distributions Predictive Forecast Models

International Distributions' time-series forecasting models is one of many International Distributions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Distributions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about International Distributions

Checking the ongoing alerts about International Distributions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Distributions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in International Stock

International Distributions financial ratios help investors to determine whether International Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in International with respect to the benefits of owning International Distributions security.