IDW Media Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.65
| IDWDelisted Stock | USD 0.53 0.00 0.00% |
IDW |
IDW Media Target Price Odds to finish over 0.65
The tendency of IDW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 0.65 or more in 90 days |
| 0.53 | 90 days | 0.65 | about 9.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IDW Media to move over $ 0.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.68 (This IDW Media Holdings probability density function shows the probability of IDW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IDW Media Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 0.53 and $ 0.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.33 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon IDW Media Holdings has a beta of -3.82. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding IDW Media Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, IDW Media is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally IDW Media Holdings has an alpha of 0.4809, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IDW Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IDW Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IDW Media Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IDW Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IDW Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IDW Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IDW Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IDW Media Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IDW Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0073 |
IDW Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IDW Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IDW Media Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IDW Media Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| IDW Media Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| IDW Media Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 36.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (748 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 19.59 M. | |
| IDW Media Holdings has about 10.01 M in cash with (6.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.73, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
IDW Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IDW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IDW Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IDW Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10 M |
IDW Media Technical Analysis
IDW Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IDW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IDW Media Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing IDW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IDW Media Predictive Forecast Models
IDW Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many IDW Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IDW Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IDW Media Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about IDW Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IDW Media Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IDW Media Holdings is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| IDW Media Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| IDW Media Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 36.09 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (748 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 19.59 M. | |
| IDW Media Holdings has about 10.01 M in cash with (6.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.73, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in IDW Stock
If you are still planning to invest in IDW Media Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the IDW Media's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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