Ivanhoe Electric Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.74
| IE Stock | USD 7.68 0.53 6.46% |
Ivanhoe |
Ivanhoe Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 8.74
The tendency of Ivanhoe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.74 after 90 days |
| 7.68 | 90 days | 8.74 | about 32.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ivanhoe Electric to stay under $ 8.74 after 90 days from now is about 32.33 (This Ivanhoe Electric probability density function shows the probability of Ivanhoe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ivanhoe Electric price to stay between its current price of $ 7.68 and $ 8.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.39 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Ivanhoe Electric has a beta of 1.0. This usually indicates Ivanhoe Electric market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ivanhoe Electric is expected to follow. Additionally Ivanhoe Electric has an alpha of 0.227, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ivanhoe Electric Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ivanhoe Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ivanhoe Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ivanhoe Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ivanhoe Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ivanhoe Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ivanhoe Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ivanhoe Electric, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ivanhoe Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Ivanhoe Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ivanhoe Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ivanhoe Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ivanhoe Electric had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 3.9 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (199.38 M) with gross profit of 5.3 M. | |
| Ivanhoe Electric reports about 139.66 M in cash with (150.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.41. | |
| Ivanhoe Electric has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Xtrackers plc UK Regulatory Announcement Net Asset Value |
Ivanhoe Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ivanhoe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ivanhoe Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ivanhoe Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 205 M |
Ivanhoe Electric Technical Analysis
Ivanhoe Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ivanhoe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ivanhoe Electric. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ivanhoe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ivanhoe Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Ivanhoe Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ivanhoe Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ivanhoe Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ivanhoe Electric
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ivanhoe Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ivanhoe Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ivanhoe Electric had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 3.9 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (199.38 M) with gross profit of 5.3 M. | |
| Ivanhoe Electric reports about 139.66 M in cash with (150.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.41. | |
| Ivanhoe Electric has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 65.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Xtrackers plc UK Regulatory Announcement Net Asset Value |
Check out Ivanhoe Electric Backtesting, Ivanhoe Electric Valuation, Ivanhoe Electric Correlation, Ivanhoe Electric Hype Analysis, Ivanhoe Electric Volatility, Ivanhoe Electric History as well as Ivanhoe Electric Performance. For information on how to trade Ivanhoe Stock refer to our How to Trade Ivanhoe Stock guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ivanhoe Electric. If investors know Ivanhoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ivanhoe Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.59) | Revenue Per Share 0.027 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.808 | Return On Assets (0.27) | Return On Equity (0.64) |
The market value of Ivanhoe Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ivanhoe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ivanhoe Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ivanhoe Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ivanhoe Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ivanhoe Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ivanhoe Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ivanhoe Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ivanhoe Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.