Franklin Floating (Ireland) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 15.82

IE00B065CV35  USD 15.91  0.00  0.00%   
Franklin Floating's future price is the expected price of Franklin Floating instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Floating Rate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Floating Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Franklin Floating Correlation, Franklin Floating Hype Analysis, Franklin Floating Volatility, Franklin Floating History as well as Franklin Floating Performance.
  
Please specify Franklin Floating's target price for which you would like Franklin Floating odds to be computed.

Franklin Floating Target Price Odds to finish below 15.82

The tendency of Franklin Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.82  or more in 90 days
 15.91 90 days 15.82 
about 70.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Floating to drop to $ 15.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 70.25 (This Franklin Floating Rate probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Floating Rate price to stay between $ 15.82  and its current price of $15.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Franklin Floating has a beta of 0.0031. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Franklin Floating average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Franklin Floating Rate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Franklin Floating Rate has an alpha of 0.0175, implying that it can generate a 0.0175 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Franklin Floating Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Floating

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Floating Rate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8215.9116.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2814.3717.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.8615.9516.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.9115.9115.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Floating. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Floating's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Floating's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Floating Rate.

Franklin Floating Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Floating is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Floating's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Floating Rate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Floating within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -1.18

Franklin Floating Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Floating for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Floating Rate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Franklin Floating Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Franklin Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Franklin Floating's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Floating's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Franklin Floating Technical Analysis

Franklin Floating's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Floating Rate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Floating Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Floating's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Floating's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Floating's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Floating Rate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Floating for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Floating Rate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Franklin Fund

Franklin Floating financial ratios help investors to determine whether Franklin Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Franklin with respect to the benefits of owning Franklin Floating security.
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