Imperial Equities Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.45
| IEI Stock | CAD 4.03 0.45 10.04% |
Imperial |
Imperial Equities Target Price Odds to finish below 1.45
The tendency of Imperial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 1.45 or more in 90 days |
| 4.03 | 90 days | 1.45 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Imperial Equities to drop to C$ 1.45 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Imperial Equities probability density function shows the probability of Imperial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Imperial Equities price to stay between C$ 1.45 and its current price of C$4.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Imperial Equities has a beta of -0.44. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Imperial Equities are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Imperial Equities is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Imperial Equities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Imperial Equities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Imperial Equities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imperial Equities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Imperial Equities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Imperial Equities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Imperial Equities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Imperial Equities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Imperial Equities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Imperial Equities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Imperial Equities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Imperial Equities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Imperial Equities has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Imperial Equities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Imperial Equities has accumulated 128.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Imperial Equities has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Imperial Equities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Imperial Equities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Imperial Equities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Imperial to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Imperial Equities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 83.0% of Imperial Equities shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Imperial Brands Raises Dividends on Earnings Growth - Morningstar |
Imperial Equities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Imperial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Imperial Equities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Imperial Equities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 424.5 K |
Imperial Equities Technical Analysis
Imperial Equities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Imperial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Imperial Equities. In general, you should focus on analyzing Imperial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Imperial Equities Predictive Forecast Models
Imperial Equities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Imperial Equities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Imperial Equities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Imperial Equities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Imperial Equities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Imperial Equities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Imperial Equities has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Imperial Equities has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Imperial Equities has accumulated 128.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 135.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Imperial Equities has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Imperial Equities until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Imperial Equities' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Imperial Equities sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Imperial to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Imperial Equities' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 83.0% of Imperial Equities shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Imperial Brands Raises Dividends on Earnings Growth - Morningstar |
Additional Tools for Imperial Stock Analysis
When running Imperial Equities' price analysis, check to measure Imperial Equities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Imperial Equities is operating at the current time. Most of Imperial Equities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Imperial Equities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Imperial Equities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Imperial Equities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.