Icahn Enterprises Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.08
| IEP Stock | USD 11.12 0.06 0.54% |
Icahn |
Icahn Enterprises Target Price Odds to finish below 12.08
The tendency of Icahn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 12.08 after 90 days |
| 11.12 | 90 days | 12.08 | about 35.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Icahn Enterprises to stay under $ 12.08 after 90 days from now is about 35.39 (This Icahn Enterprises LP probability density function shows the probability of Icahn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Icahn Enterprises price to stay between its current price of $ 11.12 and $ 12.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.92 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.81 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Icahn Enterprises will likely underperform. Additionally Icahn Enterprises LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Icahn Enterprises Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Icahn Enterprises
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Icahn Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Icahn Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Icahn Enterprises Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Icahn Enterprises is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Icahn Enterprises' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Icahn Enterprises LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Icahn Enterprises within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Icahn Enterprises Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Icahn Enterprises for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Icahn Enterprises can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Icahn Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Icahn Enterprises has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.92 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.01 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B. | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Icahn Enterprises Among the NASDAQ Stocks with Biggest Upside Potential According to Analysts |
Icahn Enterprises Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Icahn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Icahn Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Icahn Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 B |
Icahn Enterprises Technical Analysis
Icahn Enterprises' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Icahn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Icahn Enterprises LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Icahn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Icahn Enterprises Predictive Forecast Models
Icahn Enterprises' time-series forecasting models is one of many Icahn Enterprises' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Icahn Enterprises' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Icahn Enterprises
Checking the ongoing alerts about Icahn Enterprises for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Icahn Enterprises help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Icahn Enterprises generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Icahn Enterprises has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.92 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.01 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.91 B. | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Icahn Enterprises Among the NASDAQ Stocks with Biggest Upside Potential According to Analysts |
Additional Tools for Icahn Stock Analysis
When running Icahn Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Icahn Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Icahn Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Icahn Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Icahn Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Icahn Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Icahn Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.