Inficon Holding Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 861.16
| IFCNF Stock | USD 1,260 0.00 0.00% |
INFICON |
INFICON Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 861.16
The tendency of INFICON Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 861.16 or more in 90 days |
| 1,260 | 90 days | 861.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INFICON Holding to drop to $ 861.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This INFICON Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of INFICON Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INFICON Holding AG price to stay between $ 861.16 and its current price of $1260.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon INFICON Holding AG has a beta of -0.51. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INFICON Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INFICON Holding AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INFICON Holding AG has an alpha of 0.3334, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INFICON Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INFICON Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INFICON Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INFICON Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INFICON Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INFICON Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INFICON Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INFICON Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 101.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
INFICON Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of INFICON Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential INFICON Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. INFICON Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 22.36 | |
| Float Shares | 2.15M | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 3.04% |
INFICON Holding Technical Analysis
INFICON Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INFICON Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INFICON Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing INFICON Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INFICON Holding Predictive Forecast Models
INFICON Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many INFICON Holding's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INFICON Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards INFICON Holding in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, INFICON Holding's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from INFICON Holding options trading.
Other Information on Investing in INFICON Pink Sheet
INFICON Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether INFICON Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INFICON with respect to the benefits of owning INFICON Holding security.