International Flavors (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 83.85
| IFF Stock | EUR 86.24 2.20 2.62% |
International |
International Flavors Target Price Odds to finish over 83.85
The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 83.85 in 90 days |
| 86.24 | 90 days | 83.85 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Flavors to stay above € 83.85 in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This International Flavors Fragrances probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Flavors price to stay between € 83.85 and its current price of €86.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon International Flavors has a beta of 0.42. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, International Flavors average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding International Flavors Fragrances will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally International Flavors Fragrances has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. International Flavors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for International Flavors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Flavors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.International Flavors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Flavors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Flavors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Flavors Fragrances, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Flavors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
International Flavors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Flavors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Flavors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| International Flavors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.15 B. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
International Flavors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Flavors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Flavors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 255 M |
International Flavors Technical Analysis
International Flavors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Flavors Fragrances. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
International Flavors Predictive Forecast Models
International Flavors' time-series forecasting models is one of many International Flavors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Flavors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about International Flavors
Checking the ongoing alerts about International Flavors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Flavors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| International Flavors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.44 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.87 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.15 B. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in International Stock
When determining whether International Flavors is a strong investment it is important to analyze International Flavors' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact International Flavors' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding International Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out International Flavors Backtesting, International Flavors Valuation, International Flavors Correlation, International Flavors Hype Analysis, International Flavors Volatility, International Flavors History as well as International Flavors Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.