Indonesia Fibreboard (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 152.92
| IFII Stock | IDR 210.00 4.00 1.94% |
Indonesia |
Indonesia Fibreboard Target Price Odds to finish below 152.92
The tendency of Indonesia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 152.92 or more in 90 days |
| 210.00 | 90 days | 152.92 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indonesia Fibreboard to drop to 152.92 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Indonesia Fibreboard Industry probability density function shows the probability of Indonesia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indonesia Fibreboard price to stay between 152.92 and its current price of 210.0 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indonesia Fibreboard Industry has a beta of -0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Indonesia Fibreboard are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Indonesia Fibreboard Industry is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Indonesia Fibreboard Industry has an alpha of 0.211, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Indonesia Fibreboard Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indonesia Fibreboard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indonesia Fibreboard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indonesia Fibreboard Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indonesia Fibreboard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indonesia Fibreboard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indonesia Fibreboard Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indonesia Fibreboard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Indonesia Fibreboard Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indonesia Fibreboard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indonesia Fibreboard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Indonesia Fibreboard Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indonesia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indonesia Fibreboard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indonesia Fibreboard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.9 B |
Indonesia Fibreboard Technical Analysis
Indonesia Fibreboard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indonesia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indonesia Fibreboard Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indonesia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indonesia Fibreboard Predictive Forecast Models
Indonesia Fibreboard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indonesia Fibreboard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indonesia Fibreboard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indonesia Fibreboard
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indonesia Fibreboard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indonesia Fibreboard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Indonesia Stock
Indonesia Fibreboard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indonesia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indonesia with respect to the benefits of owning Indonesia Fibreboard security.