Intact Financial Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 20.47
| IFTPF Stock | USD 20.47 0.00 0.00% |
Intact |
Intact Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 20.47
The tendency of Intact Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 20.47 | 90 days | 20.47 | roughly 2.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intact Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Intact Financial probability density function shows the probability of Intact Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Intact Financial has a beta of -0.0302. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intact Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intact Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intact Financial has an alpha of 0.0121, implying that it can generate a 0.0121 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Intact Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intact Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intact Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intact Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intact Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intact Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intact Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intact Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Intact Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intact Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intact Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intact Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -762 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 137 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.92 | |
| Shares Float | 142.3 M |
Intact Financial Technical Analysis
Intact Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intact Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intact Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intact Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intact Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Intact Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Intact Financial's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intact Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Intact Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Intact Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Intact Financial options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Intact Pink Sheet
Intact Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intact Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intact with respect to the benefits of owning Intact Financial security.