Institut IGH (Croatia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.13

IGH Stock   17.00  0.00  0.00%   
Institut IGH's future price is the expected price of Institut IGH instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Institut IGH dd performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Institut IGH Backtesting, Institut IGH Valuation, Institut IGH Correlation, Institut IGH Hype Analysis, Institut IGH Volatility, Institut IGH History as well as Institut IGH Performance.
  
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Institut IGH Target Price Odds to finish below 0.13

The tendency of Institut Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.13  or more in 90 days
 17.00 90 days 0.13 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Institut IGH to drop to  0.13  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Institut IGH dd probability density function shows the probability of Institut Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Institut IGH dd price to stay between  0.13  and its current price of 17.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Institut IGH has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Institut IGH average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Institut IGH dd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Institut IGH dd has an alpha of 0.6184, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Institut IGH Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Institut IGH

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Institut IGH dd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9217.0023.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7714.8520.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8517.9324.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.1018.7821.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Institut IGH. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Institut IGH's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Institut IGH's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Institut IGH dd.

Institut IGH Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Institut IGH is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Institut IGH's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Institut IGH dd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Institut IGH within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.62
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
3.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Institut IGH Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Institut IGH for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Institut IGH dd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Institut IGH dd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Institut IGH dd has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Institut IGH Technical Analysis

Institut IGH's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Institut Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Institut IGH dd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Institut Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Institut IGH Predictive Forecast Models

Institut IGH's time-series forecasting models is one of many Institut IGH's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Institut IGH's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Institut IGH dd

Checking the ongoing alerts about Institut IGH for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Institut IGH dd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Institut IGH dd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Institut IGH dd has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Institut Stock

Institut IGH financial ratios help investors to determine whether Institut Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Institut with respect to the benefits of owning Institut IGH security.