Integrity Growth Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 104.55
| IGIAX Fund | USD 104.55 0.17 0.16% |
Integrity |
Integrity Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 104.55
The tendency of Integrity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 104.55 | 90 days | 104.55 | about 10.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Integrity Growth to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.42 (This Integrity Growth Income probability density function shows the probability of Integrity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Integrity Growth has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Integrity Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Integrity Growth Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Integrity Growth Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Integrity Growth Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Integrity Growth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrity Growth Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Integrity Growth Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Integrity Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Integrity Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Integrity Growth Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Integrity Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Integrity Growth Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Integrity Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Integrity Growth Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Integrity Growth Technical Analysis
Integrity Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Integrity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Integrity Growth Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Integrity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Integrity Growth Predictive Forecast Models
Integrity Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Integrity Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Integrity Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Integrity Growth Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Integrity Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Integrity Growth Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund retains all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Integrity Mutual Fund
Integrity Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Integrity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Integrity with respect to the benefits of owning Integrity Growth security.
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